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Should You Buy or Rent? A Quick Formula to See – The Price to Rent Ratio

First Time Home Buyer Mohsen Ravankhah 16 Jan

Canada’s housing market is in turmoil. With a severe housing shortage, skyrocketing demand, and soaring interest rates, the dream of homeownership seems further away than ever. It’s a common belief, often passed down from generation to generation, that owning a home is a crucial step in wealth building. But in today’s economic climate, is this still the case? Amid the housing crisis debates, a pivotal question arises: financially, is it better to buy a house or to rent? While there’s no one-size-fits-all answer, a handy tool known as the price-to-rent ratio offers valuable insights.

Understanding the Price-to-Rent Ratio

The price-to-rent ratio is a simple yet effective way to gauge whether buying or renting is more financially sensible in the long run. To calculate this, divide the purchase price of a home by the annual cost of renting a similar property. Here’s what the results indicate:

  • The ratio of 17 or lower: buying might be more beneficial.
  • Around 20: It’s a toss-up.
  • Above 23: Renting is likely the wiser choice.

This ratio compares the cost of owning a home versus renting, indirectly suggesting which option allows for better financial investment opportunities.

Case Study: Canadian Housing Market

Let’s apply this to a real-world scenario. Consider the average Canadian home, valued at $650,000, and a typical rental unit costing $2,178 per month, or $26,136 annually. This gives us a ratio of about 25, leaning towards renting. However, if rental costs increase to $2,800 monthly ($33,600 annually), the ratio drops to 19, making buying a more attractive option, assuming the purchase price remains constant.

The Investment Factor

A crucial consideration in this equation is investment. The financial advantage of renting only holds if the savings (including the would-be down payment) are invested wisely. Simply put, if you’re renting but splurging your savings on luxuries like high-end vehicles or extravagant dining, the benefits diminish.

Other Variables to Consider

Other factors can sway the rent vs. buy decision even with diligent investing. These include fluctuating interest rates, maintenance costs of owning a home, and potential appreciation in home value. For instance, if a $650,000 home appreciates at a rate higher than the assumed 3.3%, buying could emerge as the more profitable choice. That’s why experimenting with various rent-vs.-buying calculators and considering different scenarios is vital.

The Final Verdict

The decision to buy or rent is inherently personal and complex. While the price-to-rent ratio offers a guideline, it’s not an infallible predictor of wealth accumulation. No formula can guarantee the best financial outcome in every situation. This uncertainty underscores the importance of diversifying your investments to safeguard against risks. Ultimately, whether you choose to buy a home or continue renting, a strategic and well-rounded approach to your finances is crucial.